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The second-largest wildfire in the history of South Korea occurred in 2022 due to strong winds and dry climates. Quantitative evaluation of soil erosion is necessary to prevent subsequent sediment disasters in the wildfire areas. The erosion rates in two watersheds affected by the wildfires were assessed using the revised universal soil loss equation (RUSLE), a globally popular model, and the soil erosion model for mountain areas (SEMMA) developed in South Korea. The GIS-based models required the integration of maps of the erosivity factor, erodibility factor, length and slope factors, and cover and practice factors. The rainfall erosivity factor considering the 50-year and 80-year probability of rainfall increased from coastal to mountainous areas. For the LS factors, the traditional version (TV) was initially used, and the flow accumulation version (FAV) was additionally considered. The cover factor of the RUSLE and the vegetation index of the SEMMA were calculated using the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) extracted from Sentinel-2 images acquired before and after the wildfire. After one year following the wildfire, the NDVI increased compared to during the year of the wildfire. Although the RUSLE considered a low value of the P factor (0.28) for post-fire watersheds, it overestimated the erosion rate by from 3 to 15 times compared to the SEMMA. The erosion risk with the SEMMA simulation decreased with the elapsed time via the vegetation recovery and stabilization of topsoil. While the FAV of RUSLE oversimulated by 1.65~2.31 times compared to the TV, the FAV of SEMMA only increased by 1.03~1.19 times compared to the TV. The heavy rainfall of the 50-year probability due to Typhoon Khanun in 2023 generated rill and gully erosions, landslides, and sediment damage in the post-fire watershed on forest roads for transmission tower construction or logging. Both the RUSLE and SEMMA for the TV and FAV predicted high erosion risks for disturbed hillslopes; however, their accuracy varied in terms of the intensity and extent. According to a comparative analysis of the simulation results of the two models and the actual erosion situations caused by heavy rain, the FAV of SEMMA was found to simulate spatial heterogeneity and a reasonable erosion rate.
Shin et al. (Wed,) studied this question.