Effects of Stand Age Gradient and Thinning Intervention on the Structure and Productivity of Larix gmelinii Plantations

Larix gmelinii is the fourth most important tree species in China and a typical zonal climax species in the cold temperate region, with high ecological and resource value. However, intensive logging, high-density afforestation, and insufficient scientific management have led to overly dense, homogeneous, and unstable plantations, severely limiting productivity. To clarify the mechanisms by which structural dynamics regulate productivity, we established a space-for-time sequence (T1–T3, T2-D, CK) under a consistent early-tending background. Using the “1 + 4” nearest-neighbor framework and six spatial structural parameters, we developed tree and forest spatial structure indices (TSSI and FSSI) and integrated nine structural–functional indicators for multivariate analysis. The results showed that TSSI and FSSI effectively characterized multi-level stability and supported stability classification. Along the stand-age gradient, structural stability and spatial use efficiency improved significantly, with FSSI and biomass per hectare (BPH) increasing by 91% and 18% from T1 to T3, though a “structural improvement–functional lag” occurred at T2. Moderate thinning markedly optimized stand configuration, reducing low-stability individuals from 86.45% in T1 to 42.65% in T2-D, while DBH, crown width, FSSI, and BPH (229.87 t·hm−2) increased to near natural-forest levels. At the tree scale, DBH, tree height, crown width, and TSSI were positive drivers, whereas a high height–diameter ratio (HDR) constrained growth. At the stand scale, canopy density, species richness, and mean DBH promoted FSSI and BPH, while mean HDR and stand density imposed major constraints. A critical management window was identified when DBH < 25 cm, HDR > 10, and TSSI < 0.25 (approximately 10–30 years post-planting). We propose a stepwise, moderate, and targeted thinning strategy with necessary underplanting to reduce density and slenderness, increase diameter and canopy structure, and enhance diversity, thereby accelerating the synergy between stability and productivity. This framework provides a practical pathway for the scientific management and high-quality development of L. gmelinii plantations.