Nearly all models in the latest report from the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) rely to some extent on carbon dioxide removal (CDR) to keep warming below 2 °C and reach net-zero carbon emissions. But a new study warns that heavy reliance on large-scale CDR projects would have a huge impact on both people and the environment ( Science 2024, DOI: 10.1126 /science.adj6171 ). For example, the IPCC estimates that producing bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) could remove up to 11.3 billion metric tons (t) of CO 2 per year. Afforestation and reforestation, which rely on newly planted trees to sequester CO 2 , could remove an additional 10.0 billion t of the greenhouse gas annually. However, to achieve the full mitigation potential of these methods, countries would have to collectively convert 29 million km 2 of land to bioenergy crops or trees—approximately three times
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Krystal Vasquez (2024) studied this question.
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