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October 11, 2025Eng—Advances in EngineeringOpen Access

A Comparative Assessment of Regular and Spatial Cross-Validation in Subfield Machine Learning Prediction of Maize Yield from Sentinel-2 Phenology

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Authors

DRDorijan RadočajUniversity of OsijekIPIvan PlašćakUniversity of OsijekMJMladen JurišićUniversity of Osijek

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Implication

This analysis compares regular and spatial cross-validation methods for machine learning in maize yield prediction, highlighting significant differences in model accuracy.

Key Points

  • Spatial cross-validation led to more accurate model performance estimates compared to regular cross-validation.
  • EVI-based models provided more reliable yield predictions than those based on WDRVI in the study.
  • The analysis utilized 10-fold cross-validation methods and high-resolution data from eastern Croatia.
  • Ignoring spatial structure can generate misleading conclusions about the accuracy and generalizability of predictive models.

Cite This Study

Radočaj et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68e9b1d0ba7d64b6fc132cd1https://doi.org/10.3390/eng6100270
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