An Empirical Multi-Stage One-Step Battery Thermal Runaway Model Based on Arrhenius Reaction Rate Formalism

This study develops a multi-stage, Arrhenius-type reaction rate model for exothermic heat release during thermal runaway (TR) that depends on the local active material temperature, TCell, and the remaining reactant fraction, Y. Model parameters are identified from an accelerating rate calorimetry (ARC) test on an NMC721 pouch cell. Validation across other cell formats (cylindric and prismatic) and cathode chemistries (LCO, LMO, NCA, LFP) is left for future work. Model performance is evaluated in a 3D CFD (AVL FIRE™ M 2021.2) representation of the ARC assembly and benchmarked against Gaussian and polynomial one-step TR formulations that depend solely on TCell. The three TR models are further applied to a generic 4S4P pouch cell module under stagnant and actively cooled conditions to assess thermal propagation. In the ARC test, the Arrhenius-type model shows improved agreement with measured cell skin temperatures for the NMC721 cell; in the 4S4P module, it exhibits a trend toward higher thermal propagation rates relative to the Gaussian and polynomial models.