This analysis reveals that accounting for gauge dependence lowers predicted levels of primordial black holes and gravitational waves.
We employ a covariant formalism to study the evolution of cosmological perturbations during a first-order phase transition, addressing in particular their gauge dependence that have been overlooked so far. Our results reveal that non-covariant treatments employed in previous studies can substantially overestimate the production of primordial black holes and scalar-induced gravitational waves. Once gauge dependencies are properly accounted for, we find that both effects occur at significantly lower levels than previously estimated.
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Franciolini et al. (2025) studied this question.
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