Optimizing Steel Industry and Air Conditioning Clusters Using Coordination-Based Time-Series Fusion Transformer

The steel industry, a typical energy-intensive sector, experiences significant load power fluctuations, particularly during peak periods, posing challenges to power-grid stability. Traditional studies often overlook its unique production characteristics, limiting a comprehensive understanding of power fluctuations. Meanwhile, air conditioning (AC), as a flexible load, offers stable regulation with an aggregation effect. This study explores the potential for coordinated load dispatch between the steel industry and air conditioning clusters to enhance power system flexibility. A power characteristic model for steel loads was developed based on energy consumption patterns, while a physical ETP model aggregated air conditioning loads. To improve forecasting accuracy, a parallel LSTM-Transformer model predicts both steel and air conditioning loads. CEEMDAN-VMD decomposition reduces noise in steel-load data, and the QR algorithm computes confidence intervals for load responses. The study further examines interactions between electric-arc furnace control strategies and air conditioning demand response. Case studies using real-world data demonstrate that the proposed model enhances prediction accuracy, peak suppression, and variance reduction. These findings provide insights into steel industry power fluctuations and large-scale air conditioning load adjustments.