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October 16, 2025Open Access

Evolution and determinants of firm-level systemic risk in local production networks

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Authors

AMAnna Laura ManciniBLBalázs LengyelRCRiccardo Di Clemente

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Overview

Analysis reveals structural changes in systemic risk during COVID-19, suggesting adaptation and resilience in production networks.

Key Points

  • Systemic risk in the Hungarian production network shifted significantly during the COVID-19 pandemic, indicating changing dynamics.
  • Firms’ adaptive behaviors after the pandemic resulted in lower systemic risk, diverging from the null model expectations.
  • International trade volume emerged as a crucial factor influencing systemic risk, though it has mixed effects on local economies.
  • The study employs a maximum entropy null model to explore the equilibrium dynamics of production networks from 2015 to 2022.

Cite This Study

Mancini et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68f04acce559138a1a06e896https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2506.21426
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