Analysis of perturbation effects on gene expression in single cells, indicating improved modeling strategies.
CRISPR-based genetic perturbation screens paired with single-cell transcriptomic readouts (Perturb-seq) offer a powerful tool for interrogating biological systems. Yet the resulting datasets are heterogeneous - particularly in vivo - and currently used cell-level perturbation labels reflect only CRISPR guide RNA exposure rather than perturbation state; further, many perturbations have a minimal effect on gene expression. For perturbations that do alter the transcriptomic state of cells, intracellular guide RNA abundance exhibits a dose-response association with perturbation efficacy. We combine (i) per-perturbation, expression-only classifiers trained with non-negative negative-unlabeled (nnNU) risk to yield calibrated scores reflecting the perturbation state of single cells and (ii) a monotone guide abundance prior to yield a per-cell pseudo-posterior that supports both assignment of perturbation probability and selection of affected gene features. To obtain a low-dimensional representation that allows for the accurate reconstruction of gene-level marginals for counterfactual decoding, we train an autoencoder with a quantile-hurdle reconstruction loss and feature-weighted emphasis on perturbation-affected genes. The result is a perturbation-aware latent embedding amenable to downstream trajectory modeling (e.g., optimal transport or flow matching) and a principled probability of perturbation for each non-control cell derived jointly from its guide counts and transcriptome.
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Hugi et al. (2025) studied this question.
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