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This is a Quantitative Study study.

Probabilistic Democracy

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Structural model assesses electoral accountability and voter intimidation in democracy, indicating key influences.

The analysis reveals that voter intimidation significantly affects support for authoritarian leaders, highlighting serious implications for democratic processes.
Voter intimidation is exacerbated by factors including military experience of incumbents and external diplomatic relationships, such as with the USA.
Estimated democracy scores from the model show strong correlation with established political science measures, providing advantages like clarity and replicability.
Findings suggest that ratification of international agreements like the Convention Against Torture can empower voters, fostering electoral accountability.

Bas et al. (2025) studied this question.

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