Cross-sectional analysis reveals female wage employment reduces births in Kenya, suggesting policy implications.
The paper examines the association between fertility and female wage employment in Kenya using nationally representative cross-sectional data collected by the Kenya’s National Bureau of Statistics, a government-owned statistical organization. Two findings emerge from our analysis. The first finding is that female wage employment is negatively correlated with the number of births. Incompatibility of childrearing with wage employment is one of the main explanations for this evidence. The other finding is a much larger magnitude of the negative association between wage employment and male births relative to female newborns, but the difference in the estimated gender-specific coefficients is statistically insignificant. However, there is need for further significance tests on the difference between the gendered coefficients because the larger drop in the number of male births relative to female, as female wage employment expands, has strong support in the biomedical literature. The relevance of the second finding in the context of the biomedical literature on the link between a child’s gender at birth and the environment in which the mother works and lives provides a justification for further research on this issue. The tentative findings of the paper point to labor market policies that could be explored in Kenya and elsewhere in Africa to address the problem of excess fertility, and thus enhance women’s health, agency, and socioeconomic empowerment.
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Mwabu et al. (2025) studied this question.
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