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October 31, 2025Optimal Control Applications and Methods5 citationsOpen Access

Optimal Control and Cost‐Effectiveness Analysis of Strategies for Pneumonia Transmission Dynamics

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SKSunil Kanhaiyalal KushavahaASArvind Kumar Sinha

Key Points

  • Most effective strategy combines all four controls: vaccination, prevention, treatment, and revaccination.
  • The study identifies vaccination and prevention as the most cost-effective approach based on cost-effectiveness ratios.
  • Optimal control model developed to analyze pneumonia transmission dynamics using mathematical algorithms.
  • Findings may guide policymakers in prioritizing resource allocation for pneumonia prevention and treatment.

Abstract

ABSTRACT In epidemiological modeling, cost‐effectiveness analysis is an important tool for identifying efficient strategies to prevent the most infections at the lowest implementation cost. We develop an optimal control model for pneumonia transmission dynamics, incorporating four interventions: vaccination, prevention, treatment, and revaccination. We derive the reproduction number for the model and conduct a sensitivity analysis with respect to various parameters. We establish the existence of optimal controls and determine the corresponding parameter values. Furthermore, we apply the forward fourth‐order Runge–Kutta method and the backward sweep algorithm to evaluate selected combinations of interventions: Strategy A (a combination of vaccination and prevention), Strategy B (a combination of vaccination and treatment), Strategy C (a combination of prevention and treatment), Strategy D (a combination of vaccination and revaccination), Strategy E (a combination of vaccination, prevention, and treatment), Strategy F (a combination of vaccination, prevention, and revaccination), Strategy G (a combination of vaccination, treatment, and revaccination), and Strategy H (a combination of all four controls). Our results show that the strategy combining all four controls is the most effective, with an efficiency index of . However, combining vaccination and prevention is the most cost‐effective strategy, based on average and incremental cost‐effectiveness ratios. This study provides insights for policymakers to prioritize prevention, treatment, vaccination, and revaccination strategies for optimal resource allocation.

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Cite This Study

Kushavaha et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6903feedb25c631a42660097https://doi.org/10.1002/oca.70044
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