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November 18, 2025WaterOpen Access

AI-Based Time-Series Ensemble Approach Coupled with a Hydrological Model for Reservoir Storage Prediction in Korea

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Authors

JPJaeseong ParkJJJason Sung-uk JohMCMinha Choi

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Overview

AI-based approach improves reservoir storage prediction accuracy amidst seasonal flooding and inflow challenges.

Key Points

  • The aim is to enhance reservoir storage prediction using AI and hydrological modeling methods.
  • Proposed an AI-based framework that incorporates hydrological models for inflow and outflow simulation.
  • Utilized a Bayesian Model Averaging ensemble of LSTM, GRU, and TFT models for predictions.
  • Analyzed prediction accuracy through Mean Absolute Error and correlation coefficients.
  • Achieved MAEs of 0.820%p, 1.339%p, and 1.766%p for 1-day, 2-day, and 3-day ahead predictions respectively.
  • Correlation coefficients reached 0.994, 0.987, and 0.980, indicating high prediction accuracy over various lead times.

Cite This Study

Park et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6924fef4c0ce034ddc351b6dhttps://doi.org/10.3390/w17223296
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