November 25, 2025Open Access

Modeling Regional Variation in Wheat Production Dynamics Using Trend-Based Forecasting Techniques

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Analysis of forecasting models shows significant production insights for wheat, indicating implications for food security policies.

Production dynamics of wheat were effectively modeled using various forecasting models to analyze yield changes.
The time series data from 1981 to 2023 highlighted the importance of different forecasting techniques for agricultural insights.
Double Exponential Smoothing model was notably effective, yielding low error estimates in predicting wheat production across provinces.
Findings may enable better-informed policies regarding agricultural management and food security in Pakistan.

Fatima et al. (2025) studied this question.

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