Analysis shows inflationary retail price adjustments in response to wholesale price changes, suggesting reduced consumer welfare.
The objective of this study is to examine the dynamic adjustment of retail prices following changes in input prices within an oligopolistic and vertically non-integrated market. Data are weekly retail and wholesale prices between February 2010 and August 2013. The methodology employed is the Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) model, which captures both short- and long-run price dynamics. The empirical findings reveal evidence of the “rockets and feathers” hypothesis for more than half of the products examined, indicating an inflationary impact on retail prices, thus a temporal or permanent decrease in consumer welfare. This result is in contrast with the perishable nature of fruits and vegetables.
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Athanasios Dimas (2025) studied this question.
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