Climate-Based Assessment of Radiative Cooling Potential Using Energy Simulation and Atmospheric Indicators

Rising global temperatures are driving an urgent need for buildings that consume less energy while maintaining comfort. Cooling demand is surging worldwide, yet conventional air-conditioning remains energy-intensive and carbon-heavy. Against this backdrop, radiative cooling materials have gained attention as a passive solution capable of reflecting incoming solar radiation while emitting thermal energy to the sky. This study aims to establish a climate-informed framework that quantitatively predicts the energy-saving potential of façade-integrated radiative-cooling materials across diverse East Asian climates. By synergizing hour-by-hour building-energy simulation with three novel atmospheric suitability indices, we provide a transferable methodology for selecting and optimizing passive cooling strategies at urban and regional scales. Three façade configurations were tested, i.e., a conventional absorptive surface, a common radiative cooling surface, and an idealized high-reflectance and high-emissivity surface. The results show that the ideal case can reduce wall surface temperatures by up to 20 °C, suppress diurnal heat flux swings by 60–80%, and cut annual cooling demand by 5–80 kWh per square meter, depending on climate conditions. To generalize these findings, three new indices—the Weather Structure Index, Diurnal Temperature Index, and Composite Climate Applicability—were proposed. Regression models with R2 values above 0.9 confirm the Composite Climate Applicability index as a robust predictor of energy-saving potential. The outcomes demonstrate that radiative cooling is not only highly effective in hot, humid regions but also unexpectedly beneficial in clear, cold climates, offering a practical, climate-informed framework for advancing low-carbon building design.