Deep learning based on MRI for assessing the prognostic value of lateral lymph nodes in rectal cancer

Objectives Accurate preoperative evaluation of positive lateral lymph node (LLN) is crucial for optimizing treatment strategies in rectal cancer. Traditional methods, such as MRI T2-weighted imaging (T2WI), face limitations like interobserver variability and difficulty detecting small or occult metastases. Deep learning (DL) may provide a more efficient and precise alternative. Methods In this multicenter, retrospective study, images from 1,000 patients across five centers were annotated to train a DL model for identifying and segmenting LLN. The model was tested on images from 480 patients in a validation cohort. Kaplan-Meier analysis compared disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) between LLN-positive and LLN-negative groups, while Cox regression identified prognostic factors for DFS and OS. Results The DL model achieved an accuracy of 87.5% and a specificity of 73.8% in predicting LLN positivity, demonstrating high diagnostic performance. Both univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses identified LLN status, circumferential resection margin (CRM), and tumor downstaging (TD) as independent prognostic factors. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed patients with positive LLNs had worse outcomes, with 3-year DFS of 57.66% vs. 81.66%, and 5-year OS of 61.62% vs. 84.82% compared to LLN-negative patients. Conclusions The DL model effectively predicts positive LLNs, offering an efficient alternative to traditional methods and supporting preoperative decision-making. Its clinical implementation could enhance risk stratification and personalize therapeutic strategies for rectal cancer patients.