Study shows increased liver transplant probability in hilar cholangiocarcinoma patients, highlighting improvements in waitlist survival.
In 2019, the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) policy for patients with hilar cholangiocarcinoma (hCCA) changed from granting a Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) exception score of 22 with 10% escalation every 3 months to a median MELD at transplant minus three (MMaT-3) without escalation, after completion of an approved neoadjuvant protocol. Using the UNOS registry, we compared waitlist and post-transplant outcomes in hCCA patients who received exception points in the pre-MMaT(10/01/15–11/15/2018) and the MMaT eras (05/15/2019–07/01/2022). We also compared these outcomes to those of propensity-matched hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. Our study demonstrated the probability of liver transplant (LT) significantly increased in hCCA patients during the MMaT era. One-year LT probability rose from 56.0% to 73.6% ( p <0.001), and three-year LT probability improved from 72.1% to 79.6% ( p <0.001). Furthermore, waitlist mortality also dropped, with three-year waitlist mortality decreasing from 26.6% to 17.6% ( p =0.04). Post-transplant survival remained unchanged in both eras. Compared to HCC patients, hCCA patients in the pre-MMaT era had lower LT probability (one-year:56.0 vs. 75.0%, three year:72.1 vs. 82.1% ( p <0.001)) and higher waitlist mortality (three-year dropout:26.6% vs. 13.1%, p <0.001). Conversely, in the MMaT era, hCCA patients had similar LT probability to HCC patients. However, although significantly improved, waitlist mortality remained higher in hCCA patients compared to HCC patients (three-year dropout: 17.6% vs. 14.%, p =0.02). Under the MMaT policy, hCCA patients have improved access to LT with improved waitlist survival.
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Shaikh et al. (2025) studied this question.
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