Epco-33. Molecular Markers of Chromosomal Instability, Including Copy Number Variation and Mdm2/4 Amplification, Are Prognostic in Idh Wild Type Glioblastoma

BACKGROUND Chromosomal instability is a well-recognized hallmark of tumorigenesis. However, it is not known how markers for chromosomal instability, such as total distance of DNA altered or total copy number variations (CNV), affect survival, particularly in IDH wild type glioblastoma. Additionally, whether alterations in pathways that impact cellular responses to chromosomal instability, such as the TP53 or RB1 axis, influence survival, similarly remain poorly understood. METHODS To better characterize potential prognostic impact of markers of chromosomal instability on patient outcomes, we assessed the Mayo Clinic cohort of IDH wild type glioblastomas (n=449) for whom chromosomal microarray data was available. RESULTS We found that while total distance of DNA altered on microarray analysis was not associated with overall survival (OS) (p=0.4030, univariate analysis), the least altered tumors (stratified by quartiles) when assessed by numbers of CNVs demonstrated improved OS (p=0.0057, univariate analysis). We next evaluated alterations in the MDM2/4-TP53 signaling axis, as well as the CDKN2A/B-CDK4/6-RB1 axis, as both amplifications and losses impacting these pathways have been well characterized in adult diffuse gliomas. While TP53 status was not predictive of OS (p=0.1504, univariate analysis), amplification of MDM2 or MDM4 was predictive of decreased OS (p=0.0071, univariate analysis). We also found that tumors without alterations in the CDKN2A/B-CDK4/6-RB1 axis had improved OS when compared to altered tumors (p<0.0001, univariate analysis). Multivariate Cox regression analysis, adjusting for age and sex, confirmed prognostic impact of MDM2/4 amplification status (HR 1.4090, p=0.0370) and CNV status (HR 0.6798, p=0.00312) on OS. CONCLUSIONS CNV status and MDM2/4 amplification represent previously unappreciated molecular markers for prognostication in IDH wild type glioblastoma. Further work is underway to confirm our findings through multi-institutional collaborations and to account for additional potential prognostic factors.