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November 1, 2025Meteorological ApplicationsOpen Access

On the Reliability of Surface Observations and the Pitfalls of Verification Against Own Analyses

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Authors

JCJean-François CaronBCBarbara Casati

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Overview

Analysis reveals temperature assimilation improves forecast verification, indicating pitfalls in methodology with near-surface analysis.

Key Points

  • Assimilation of temperature enhances forecast accuracy, improving verification against independent sources.
  • Key evidence shows verification of assimilated temperature impacts results when compared to independent analyses.
  • This evaluation uses forecast verification and assesses the efficacy of data assimilation on temperature observations.
  • Implications highlight the need for careful consideration of verification approaches in weather forecasting systems.

Cite This Study

Caron et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6925437fc0ce034ddc358da5https://doi.org/10.1002/met.70129
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