Qualitative analysis shows positive impacts of reforms on financial stability in South Sudan, indicating need for better governance.
South Sudan faced persistent financial instability rooted in excessive oil dependency, conflict-induced disruptions, weak governance, and fragile institutional capacity. The purpose of the study was to evaluate the financial reform progress in the South Sudan fiscal space and monetary policies, with the aim of assessing how reform measures have influenced macroeconomic stability, institutional effectiveness, and financial inclusion. The study adopted a qualitative-descriptive research approach supported by thematic analysis of government documents, international financial reports, and peer-reviewed studies, complemented by inferential statistical insights. The results showed that oil dependency had a strong positive correlation with financial instability (r = 0.81, p < 0.001), whereas governance effectiveness (r = -0.73, p = 0.003) and institutional capacity (r = -0.68, p = 0.001) were negatively correlated with stability. Reform initiatives, including the Public Financial Management (PFM) Reform Strategy (r = 0.56, p = 0.015), the Treasury Single Account (r = 0.49, p = 0.037), and the IMF’s Staff-Monitored Program (r = 0.63, p = 0.008), demonstrated moderate positive impacts on fiscal discipline. However, political resistance emerged as a significant barrier (r = -0.67, p = 0.001). Public financial management indicators such as timely budget preparation (r = 0.60, p = 0.002), audit enforcement (r = 0.66, p = 0.001), and central bank independence (r = 0.62, p = 0.003) were strongly associated with fiscal stability. Financial inclusion remained low, particularly in rural banking access (r = 0.72, p < 0.001) and SME credit access (r = 0.60, p = 0.004). The study concluded that achieving macroeconomic stability required sustained fiscal discipline, institutional independence, transparent governance, and inclusive financial systems to strengthen South Sudan’s long-term resilience.
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Bec Anyak (2025) studied this question.
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