Observational analysis reveals cosmic ray variations due to solar wind and coronal mass ejections, indicating enhanced space weather disturbance effects.
A method for determining a complex operational predictor of space weather disturbance is proposed. The calculations are based on different types of time series: solar activity in the radio and gamma bands, solar wind energy, variations in the flux of cosmic rays according to the data of the world network of neutron monitors and the multidirectional muon hodoscope. The technique has been tested in the analysis of a powerful geomagnetic disturbance (Dst = −412 nT). The sequence of predictors was obtained in "real" time ranging from 2–3 days to several hours.
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V. V. Borog (2025) studied this question.
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