Dynamic analysis shows financial integration affects debt stability in emerging markets, indicating policy limitations.
I develop a dynamic macroeconomic model of a small open economy to identify two key vulnerabilities that prevent emerging markets from fully integrating into global markets: high financial integration costs and their low position in the international monetary hierarchy. These vulnerabilities make them susceptible to financial traps, jeopardize debt sustainability and increase volatility. I show that the weak response of capital flows to interest rates further limits the ability of monetary policy to stabilize the system. As a result, these economies have restricted policy options and often resort to mimicking external monetary policy strategies in times of financial distress.
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Nicolás M. Burotto (2025) studied this question.
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