December 2, 2025Frontiers in Public HealthOpen Access

Comparative effectiveness analysis of univariate time-series forecasting models for disease mortality rates in the global burden of disease database: a case study of global hypertensive heart disease among women of childbearing age

View Full Paper

Ask AI

Bookmark

Authors

JLJing LyuUniversity College Dublin

Discussion

Member takes

Implication

Comparative analysis illustrates the superior predictive power of models for hypertensive heart disease mortality in women, indicating vital support for disease intervention strategies.

Key Points

The LSTM model demonstrated superior predictive accuracy on the validation set, reducing the Mean Absolute Error significantly.
Mean Absolute Error metrics showed LSTM outperformed ARIMA, with lower error rates indicating a robust forecasting approach.
Evaluation involved univariate forecasting models using the global burden of disease database spanning 1990-2021 data.
Implications suggest enhanced resource allocation for hypertensive heart disease management based on predictive insights.

Cite This Study

Jing Lyu (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/692e3d626c9b3ab28c186bd2 https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2025.1681569

View Full Paper

Ask AI

Bookmark

Implication

Comparative analysis illustrates the superior predictive power of models for hypertensive heart disease mortality in women, indicating vital support for disease intervention strategies.

Comparative effectiveness analysis of univariate time-series forecasting models for disease mortality rates in the global burden of disease database: a case study of global hypertensive heart disease among women of childbearing age

Discussion

Member takes

Implication

Key Points

Cite This Study

Comparative effectiveness analysis of univariate time-series forecasting models for disease mortality rates in the global burden of disease database: a case study of global hypertensive heart disease among women of childbearing age

Discussion

Member takes

Implication

Key Points

Cite This Study

Also Consider

Also Consider