Quantitative analysis highlights machine learning and climate adaptation in agricultural ecosystems using remote sensing technology.
Global climate change is exerting a growing impact on agricultural ecosystems. Accurately assessing the spatiotemporal dynamics of agricultural ecosystem respiration and its response mechanisms to climate has therefore emerged as a critical issue in agricultural carbon cycle research and climate change response. It should be noted that the ‘agro-ecosystem’ referred to in this study covers two major types: one is the farmland agro-ecosystem dominated by crop planting (such as farmland, orchard and other artificial management systems), and the other is the grassland agro-ecosystem dominated by herbaceous plants and managed by humans (such as grazing grassland and mowing grassland). Remote sensing technology provides a new way to break through the limitations of traditional ground observation by virtue of its advantages of large-scale and continuous monitoring. Based on the CiteSpace bibliometric method, this study focused on the key time window of 2021–2025, systematically searched the core collection of Web of Science, and finally included 222 related literature. This period marks the initial stage of the rise and rapid development of this interdisciplinary field, enabling us to capture the formation of its knowledge structure and the evolution of its research paradigm from the source. Through the quantitative analysis of this literature, it aims to reveal the research hotspots, development paths and frontier trends in this field. The results show that China occupies a dominant position in this field (135 articles). The evolution of research shows a three-stage development characterized by “technology-driven-method fusion-system coupling,” which is divided into the initial development period (2021–2022), the rapid growth period (2023–2024) and the deepening development period (2025) (because 2025 has not yet ended, this stage is a preliminary discussion). Keyword clustering analysis identified 13 important research directions, including machine learning (# 0 clustering), permafrost (# 1 clustering) and carbon flux (# 2 clustering). It is found that the deep integration of artificial intelligence and remote sensing data is promoting the transformation of research methods from traditional inversion to intelligent modeling. At the same time, the attention to alpine grassland and other ecosystems also reflects the trend that the research frontier extends to the interaction zone between the agricultural ecosystem and the natural environment. Future research should prioritize three key directions: building multi-scale monitoring networks, developing “grey box” models that integrate mechanisms and data fusion, and evaluating the carbon emission reduction efficiency of agricultural management practices. These efforts will provide a theoretical basis for carbon management and climate adaptation in agricultural ecosystems, as well as scientific and technological support for achieving global agricultural sustainable development goals (specifically, SDG13 on climate action and SDG15 on terrestrial ecosystem conservation).
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Zhang et al. (2025) studied this question.
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