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December 8, 2025PLoS Computational BiologyOpen Access

Random time-shift approximation enables hierarchical Bayesian inference of mechanistic within-host viral dynamics models on large datasets

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Authors

DMDylan J. MorrisLKLauren KennedyABAndrew J. Black

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Overview

This approach enables efficient inference of viral load data in large cohorts, indicating significant improvements in computational feasibility.

Key Points

  • To develop a cost-effective inference method for mechanistic models of viral dynamics.
  • Implemented a random time-shift approximation of model dynamics.
  • Used a combination of random and deterministic processes.
  • Applied the method to simulated datasets and COVID-19 data from an NBA cohort.
  • Demonstrated faster inference on large datasets compared to traditional methods.
  • Facilitated a hierarchical Bayesian treatment accounting for individual parameter differences.

Cite This Study

Morris et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/693624dd4fa91c937236d1f7https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013775
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