Detecting Harmful Algae Blooms (HABs) on the Ohio River Using Landsat and Google Earth Engine

Harmful Algal Blooms (HABs) in large river systems present significant challenges for water quality monitoring, with traditional in-situ sampling methods limited by spatial and temporal coverage. This study evaluates the effectiveness of machine learning techniques applied to Landsat spectral data for detecting and quantifying HABs in the Ohio River system, with particular focus on the unprecedented 2015 bloom event. Our methodology combines Google Earth Engine (GEE) for satellite data processing with an ensemble machine learning approach incorporating Support Vector Regression (SVR), Neural Networks (NN), and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB). Analysis of Landsat 7 and 8 data revealed that the 2015 HAB event had both broader spatial extent (636.5 river miles) and earlier onset (5–7 days) than detected through conventional monitoring. The ensemble model achieved a correlation coefficient of 0.85 with ground-truth measurements and demonstrated robust performance in detecting varying bloom intensities (R2 = 0.82). Field validation using ORSANCO monitoring stations confirmed the model’s reliability (Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency = 0.82). The integration of multispectral indices, particularly the Floating Algae Index (FAI) and Normalized Difference Chlorophyll Index (NDCI), enhanced detection accuracy by 23% compared to single-index approaches. The GEE-based framework enables near real-time processing and automated alert generation, making it suitable for operational deployment in water management systems. These findings demonstrate the potential for satellite-based HAB monitoring to complement existing ground-based systems and establish a foundation for improved early warning capabilities in large river systems through the integration of remote sensing and machine learning techniques.