Cohort study links air pollution and metabolic signatures to a 15% increased gout risk, suggesting mediation effects.
Objective This study aimed to identify metabolic signatures reflecting air pollution and further explore their associations with gout risk. Methods We retrieved 207,908 gout‐free participants from a large cohort study. Annual average concentrations of fine particulate (PM 2.5 ), inhalable particulate matter (PM 10 ), nitrogen dioxide (NO 2 ), and nitrogen oxides (NO x ) were estimated using bilinear interpolation based on the residential address. Elastic net regression was utilized to identify air pollutants‐related metabolites and construct metabolic signatures. Cox regression models were performed to evaluate the association between air pollutants, related metabolic signatures, and the risk of gout. Mediation analyses were performed to explore how metabolites mediate the relationships linking air pollutants to gout. Results During a median follow‐up of 12.56 years, 2474 incident gout cases were identified. We identified metabolite biomarkers reflecting air pollutants, including 87 metabolites for PM 2.5 , 76 for PM 10 , 68 for NO 2 , and 71 for NO x . Air pollution‐related metabolic signatures were associated with elevated gout risk, with the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of 1.10 (1.05, 1.14) for PM 2.5 , 1.12 (1.08, 1.17) for PM 10 , 1.09 (1.04, 1.13) for NO 2 , and 1.11 (1.06, 1.15) for NO x . Consistently, per IQR increase in PM 2.5 , PM 10 , NO 2 , and NO x was associated with 17%, 15%, 6%, and 6% increased gout risk, respectively. Additionally, metabolic signatures mediated the air pollutants‐gout associations, with the mediation proportions varying from 2.36% for PM 2.5 to 4.30% for NO x . Conclusions Our study indicated that air pollutants and metabolic signatures were associated with elevated gout risk, with metabolomic signatures playing a mediating role in air pollutants‐gout relationship.
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Hu et al. (2025) studied this question.
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