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December 11, 2025Scientific Reports6 citationsOpen Access

Diabetes duration, glycemic control, and risk of stroke and stroke subtypes: a nationwide prospective cohort study

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XGXiang GaoHYHuanhuan YangFXFei Xie

Key Points

  • To evaluate how diabetes duration and glycemic control relate to stroke risk and its subtypes.
  • Prospective cohort study using data from the UK Biobank.
  • Included 23,401 UK adults with diabetes and no history of stroke at baseline.
  • Diabetes duration was self-reported, and glycemic control was measured by HbA1c levels.
  • Assessments were done using multivariate Cox models over a median follow-up of 11.6 years.
  • Identified 982 incident cases of stroke during follow-up.
  • Longer diabetes duration (>15 years) linked to higher risk of total and ischemic stroke.
  • Higher HbA1c levels associated with increased risk for total and ischemic stroke.
  • Interaction between diabetes duration and glycemic control affected stroke risk.

Abstract

To evaluate the relationship of diabetes duration and glycemic control with risk of stroke and its major subtypes using data from the UK Biobank, a large population-based cohort of UK adults. We included 23,401 UK adult residents with diabetes who had no known stroke at baseline (2006-2010). Diabetes duration was self-reported and glycemic control was assessed by glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels. Their associations with incident stroke were assessed using multivariate Cox models. During a median follow-up of 11.6 years, 982 incident cases of stroke were identified. A longer diabetes duration was associated with higher risk of total stroke, ischemic stroke (IS), and hemorrhagic stroke (HS) (≥ 15 vs. <5 years: HRs 95% CI were 1.81 1.50, 2.19, 1.80 1.47, 2.20, and 2.17 1.46, 3.23, respectively), while higher levels of HbA1c were associated with higher risk of total stroke and IS but not HS (≥ 8.0% vs. <7.0%: HRs 95% CI were 1.78 1.52, 2.09, 1.93 1.63, 2.28, and 0.97 0.67, 1.41, respectively). Diabetes duration interacted with glycemic status on total stroke and IS (both P-for-interaction values < 0.01). Individuals who had the longest diabetes duration (≥ 15 years) and poorer glycemic control (≥ 8.0%) had particularly higher risk of total stroke (HR = 3.21; 95% CI: 2.55, 4.04) and IS (HR = 3.47; 95% CI: 2.73, 4.40) as compared with those who had a duration of < 5 years with HbA1c < 8%. A longer diabetes duration and poorer glycemic control were both associated with higher risk of total stroke and IS, and the risk may be further exacerbated with the coexistence of both risk factors.

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Cite This Study

Gao et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69401b1e2d562116f28f7651https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-27547-z
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