Regional ocean model shows IOD impacts seasonality and emissions of nitrous oxide in coastal ocean, suggesting significant variability.
The northern Indian Ocean is a hotspot of nitrous oxide (N 2 O) emissions, with strong seasonal monsoons and interannual Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) variability. We examine the IOD influence on N 2 O seasonality using a regional ocean model covering 1981–2020, with a focus on the coastal ocean where ∆ p N 2 O variability is more than threefold greater than in the open ocean. Positive IOD amplifies ∆ p N 2 O seasonality by a factor 2 to 5 in the east and dampens it by ∼ 30% in the west. Negative IOD reverses this pattern but changes are weaker (< 10%). This east/west contrast and asymmetry between positive and negative IOD arise from changes in transport of N 2 O produced in subsurface by nitrification and denitrification, and significantly modulate local N 2 O emissions (−40% to +130%). Sparse N 2 O observations and systematic biases in IOD phase sampling compound seasonal and interannual variability, likely leading to underestimation of N 2 O seasonality and emissions in observation‐based reconstructions.
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Zhao et al. (2025) studied this question.
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