Analysis reveals sentiment classification improves market efficiency, indicating trading performance is affected by cognitive processing.
This study examines the heterogeneous timing of market responses to financial news and its implications for informational uncertainty in price-adjustment dynamics. Empirically, stocks do not incorporate positive and negative sentiment at the same speed; instead, they exhibit asset-specific delays that stem from differences in investor attention, cognitive processing, and microstructural constraints. These unequal reaction windows increase the entropy of the information-transmission process, as sentiment shocks diffuse across assets in a dispersed and temporally misaligned manner. To quantify this heterogeneity, we develop a framework that integrates FinBERT-based sentiment classification, Bollinger Bands signal identification, and a Genetic Algorithm (GA) to estimate stock-specific sentiment reaction windows. Using S&P 500 data from 2021 to 2024, with 2022 to 2024 reserved for out-of-sample validation, the results show that GA-derived windows capture actual price-adjustment lags more accurately and significantly improve trading performance compared with fixed-window and technical-only benchmarks. In particular, incorporating news headline sentiment into the Bollinger Bands framework increases the win rate by approximately 5% over the testing period and leads to a significant improvement in overall returns. These findings demonstrate that the assimilation of sentiment is a time-dependent and non-uniform process shaped by behavioral and structural factors, offering new evidence that informational entropy—arising from delayed and heterogeneous reactions—plays a meaningful role in market efficiency and return dynamics.
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Chun‐Chieh Peng (2025) studied this question.
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