In an era when welfare systems face the combined pressures of social inequality, economic uncertainty, and environmental degradation, the need for sustainability-oriented social policy becomes increasingly urgent. This study investigates how such policies transform the meaning of welfare by linking human development with environmental sustainability and by redefining progress beyond economic growth. Using cross-national data from the United Nations Development Programme Human Development Report 2025 and the World Bank Environment, Social and Governance Database, the analysis covers 181 countries with complete data for the Human Development Index (HDI, 2023) and per capita carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions (2020). Statistical analyses are conducted in SPSS Statistics, Version 29.0, employing Pearson and Spearman correlation tests. The results indicate a strong and statistically significant positive relationship between HDI and CO₂ emissions (r = 0.601, p <0.001; ρ = 0.870, p <0.001), suggesting that higher welfare levels generally coincide with higher carbon intensity. Yet several countries demonstrate relative decoupling, maintaining high HDI values with lower emissions through coordinated policy frameworks that integrate social protection, employment, and environmental strategies. The study concludes that sustainability-oriented social policy redefines welfare as a multidimensional and future-oriented system that links social inclusion, ecological responsibility, and institutional resilience, reflecting the just transition principle of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development.
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Fatma İnce (2025) studied this question.
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