Modeling demonstrates how HIV-1 persistence is influenced by environmental noise and cART efficacy.
We develop a stochastic human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) infection model to analyze combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) dynamics in the brain microenvironment, explicitly accounting for two infected cell states: (1) productively infected and (2) latently infected populations. The model introduces two key epidemiological thresholds - Rc1 (productive infection) and Rc2 (latent infection) -- and defines the stochastic control reproduction number as Rc = max1, Rc2\. Our analysis reveals three distinct dynamical regimes: (1) viral extinction (Rc < 1): the infection clears exponentially with probability one; (2) latent reservoir dominance (Rc = Rc2 > 1): the system almost surely converges to a purely latent state, characterizing stable viral reservoir formation; (3) persistent productive infection (Rc = Rc1 > 1): the infection persists indefinitely with a unique stationary distribution, for which we derive the exact probability density function. And numerical simulations validate these theoretical predictions, demonstrating how environmental noise critically modulates HIV-1 dynamics in neural reservoirs. Our results quantify the stochastic balance between productive infection, latency establishment, and cART efficacy, offering mechanistic insights into viral persistence in the brain.
No takes yet. Share an insight, caveat, or question.
Tan et al. (2025) studied this question.
Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context: