Statistical Analysis of Strong Breeze and Large Wave Events in the North Indian Ocean

Ocean winds and waves play a vital role in maritime navigation safety, offshore operations, and coastal zone dynamics. Although both factors have been widely studied individually, the joint characterization of wind and wave events remains limited in the North Indian Ocean. This study, utilizing ERA5 reanalysis data from 1980 to 2022, statistically analyzed the distribution and variation patterns of both wind speed and significant wave height, investigating the occurrence, affected area proportion, frequency, and intensity of SBLWEs. To understand the cause of Strong Breeze and Large Wave Events (SBLWEs), their connections with other phenomena, such as tropical cyclones, were also explored. The results show that regions with strong breezes and large waves are mainly concentrated in the central and western Arabian Sea near Africa and the central and western Bay of Bengal. Monthly averages indicate that wind and wave intensity are much higher during the summer monsoon than in other seasons, with high intensity, probability, and extensive affected areas of SBLWEs. The occurrence probability of SBLWEs is highest in the central and western Arabian Sea (up to ~40%), and the highest probability in the Bay of Bengal is about 20% near the eastern coast of Sri Lanka. The peak period of SBLWEs occurs from June to August, with the largest affected area in July, reaching almost 25%. Over the past 40 years, the number of SBLWEs has shown an increasing trend, with an average of 0.7 events annually. The intensity distribution of SBLWEs resembles that of wind speed and wave height, with the highest intensity areas concentrated in the Bay of Bengal, affected by tropical cyclones. This study can serve as a scientific reference for maritime route planning and offshore operations, helping to reduce the negative impacts of large wind and wave events and enhance navigation safety.