Phylogenetic analysis reveals how pandemic impacts RSV evolution, suggesting enhanced genomic surveillance for vaccines and treatments.
Background Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) remains a significant cause of respiratory illness in infants and older adults worldwide. The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted typical RSV fall/winter seasonality, leading to unusual patterns of viral circulation and resurgence. We investigated the evolutionary dynamics of RSV in Houston, Texas, over a nine-year period (2015–2024), encompassing pre-pandemic, pandemic, and post-pandemic phases. Methods We sequenced 606 RSV/A and 570 RSV/B nasal swab or throat/nasal swabs samples from children outpatient clinic or in hospital with acute respiratory infections between November 1st, 2015, and Feb 1st, 2024, from the Houston site of the New Vaccine Surveillance Network. We assessed genetic diversity, lineage dynamics, and selective pressures, by phylogenetic analysis, variant calling, dN/dS ratio calculations and Shannon entropy. Results Phylogenetic analysis revealed distinct lineage dynamics, with RSV/A showing persistence of certain pre-pandemic lineages (e.g., A.D.1) and the emergence of new ones (e.g., A.D.3) during pandemic and post-pandemic periods. In contrast, RSV/B underwent a dramatic restructuring, with disappearance of pre-pandemic lineages and appearance of a dominant B.D.E.1 lineage in pandemic and post-pandemic periods. RSV/B exhibited higher genetic diversity and accumulated non-synonymous variants at nearly twice the rate of RSV/A, particularly in the M2-2 gene. The M2-2 gene in RSV/B showed a significant increase in non-synonymous mutations during the pandemic and post-pandemic periods, correlating with increased transcriptional activity. Mutations in antigenic site in the F protein, particularly in RSV/B, were also observed, with possible implications for immune evasion and resistance to treatments. Conclusion The COVID-19 pandemic significantly impacted RSV evolution, leading to reduced genetic diversity during the pandemic and the emergence of novel lineages post-pandemic. RSV/B exhibited more dynamic evolutionary changes, particularly in the M2-2 gene, suggesting potential adaptive advantages. These findings highlight the importance of continued genomic surveillance to monitor the impact of emerging interventions, such as vaccines and monoclonal antibodies, on RSV evolution and public health. Disclosures Pedro A. Piedra, MD, Gilead: Honoraria|GSK: Grant/Research Support|Icosavax: Grant/Research Support|Merck: Advisor/Consultant|Merck: Grant/Research Support|Moderna: Advisor/Consultant|Novavax: Grant/Research Support|Pfizer: Advisor/Consultant|Sanofi-Pasteur: Advisor/Consultant|Sanofi-Pasteur: Grant/Research Support|Shionogi: Advisor/Consultant|Shionogi: Grant/Research Support
No takes yet. Share an insight, caveat, or question.
Avadhanula et al. (2026) studied this question.
Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context: