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January 16, 2026American Journal of Epidemiology0 citations

Spatiotemporal Analysis of Human Response to Wildfire Events and PM2.5 Exposure

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YSYuming SunALAndrew LeeSLStella E. Lee

Key Points

  • This research aims to understand how the public responds to wildfire smoke and PM2.5 exposure.
  • Analyzed PM2.5 and Google Trends data across 11 DMAs in California from 2016 to 2020
  • Used Scaled Relative Search Interest as a proxy for public awareness and preparedness
  • Applied a Bayesian spatiotemporal distributed lag model to assess the association between PM2.5 and search interest
  • A one-unit increase in PM2.5 was linked to a 149% increase in 'air pollution' searches
  • 'Air purifier' searches rose by 34% and 68% over the first two weeks after PM2.5 exposure
  • Palm Springs had the highest response rates among all DMAs
  • Search responses were stronger at higher temperature and pressure, but decreased with wind speed and humidity
  • Socioeconomically vulnerable communities showed lower search interest in awareness and preparedness

Abstract

Abstract Wildfire-induced fine particulate matter (PM2.5) poses a growing public health risk. To examine public responses to wildfire smoke, we analyzed smoke PM2.5 and Google Trends data across 11 Designated Market Areas (DMAs) in California from 2016 to 2020. Scaled Relative Search Interest (RSI) for ‘air pollution’ and ‘air purifier’ was used as a proxy for public awareness and preparedness. Applying a Bayesian spatiotemporal distributed lag model, we found that a one-unit increase in smoke PM2.5 (6.6 μg/m3) was associated with 149% (95% Credible Interval (CrI): 107%, 486%) higher ‘air pollution’ searches and 34% (95% CrI: 3%, 76%) and 68% (95% CrI: 26%, 123%) higher ‘air purifier’ searches over the first two weeks, respectively. Among all DMAs, Palm Springs showed the strongest responses. Public search responses were amplified under higher temperature and pressure but decreased with higher wind speed and humidity. Communities with greater socioeconomic vulnerability exhibited lower search interest in both awareness- and preparedness-related terms. These findings highlight the need for timely, targeted, and equitable public communication strategies that align with real-time environmental conditions and improve access to protective resources among vulnerable populations.

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Cite This Study

Sun et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6969d4a2940543b9777097dehttps://doi.org/10.1093/aje/kwag002
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