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January 17, 2026Journal of Clinical Medicine2 citationsOpen Access

Age–Treatment Interactions in Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest: A Nationwide Registry Analysis

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BKBoldizsár KissÁPÁdám Pál-JakabBNBettina Nagy

Key Points

  • The aim is to understand how age impacts survival after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest and recognize key predictors.
  • Analyzed 147,962 adult cases from the Hungarian National EMS registry.
  • Considered factors like initial rhythm, witness status, location, and sex.
  • Used multivariable logistic regression for predictor assessment.
  • Evaluated model performance with AUC, Brier score, and cross-validation.
  • Overall survival rate was 8.8%, with elderly patients showing lower survival at 7.3%.
  • VF/VT rhythms, medical personnel witness, and AED shocks were top survival predictors.
  • Age reduced the survival benefit of VF/VT and protective effects of female sex.
  • The predictive model demonstrated good performance with AUC of 0.784.

Abstract

Introduction: Population aging in Europe is ongoing and linked to poorer outcomes after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA), yet age alone should not guide treatment. We aimed to describe age-related survival, identify independent predictors, and develop a predictive model using EMS data. Methods: We analyzed 147,962 adult OHCA cases from the Hungarian National EMS registry. Variables included initial rhythm, witness status, location, and sex. The primary outcome was survival to hospital admission. Multivariable logistic regression assessed independent predictors and age × treatment interactions; performance was evaluated with AUC, Brier score, and cross-validation. Results: Overall survival was 8.8%; elderly patients had lower survival (7.3%) than non-elderly (11.7%, p < 0.001). VF/VT (adjusted OR 5.34), medical personnel witness (OR 4.52), and AED shock (OR 3.52) were the strongest predictors. Age attenuated the survival benefit of VF/VT (interaction OR 0.914) and the protective effect of female sex (interaction OR 0.882; both p < 0.001). Model performance was good (AUC 0.784; Brier 0.0705). Conclusions: Age independently predicts survival after OHCA, but substantial treatment benefits persist in the elderly. Age–treatment interactions support geriatric-tailored resuscitation strategies and potential integration of this high-performing model into clinical decision support systems.

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Cite This Study

Kiss et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/696b2631d2a12237a9349760https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm15020705
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