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January 17, 2026Computation20 citationsOpen Access

Integrating Health Metrics and Machine Learning to Predict Employment Density

The Health-Wealth Gradient in Labor Markets: Integrating Health, Insurance, and Social Metrics to Predict Employment Density

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Authors

DLD. LiuQSQiannan ShenJLJiaci Liu

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Overview

Demonstrates a machine learning approach to predict employment density using health and social metrics, implying a link between population health and labor market participation.

Key Points

  • The central aim is to explore how health and social metrics affect employment density using machine learning techniques.
  • Constructed a longitudinal dataset from 2014 to 2024 using county-level employment and health data.
  • Applied machine learning models including LASSO, Random Forest, and regularized XGBoost.
  • Utilized SHAP values for the interpretability of the models.
  • Performed evaluations across the COVID-19 structural break.
  • The tuned, regularized XGBoost model achieved a Test R2 of 0.800.
  • A leakage-safe stacked Ridge ensemble demonstrated a Test R2 of 0.827.
  • The approach maintained interpretability of the underlying tree model used for analysis.

Cite This Study

Liu et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/696b26b2d2a12237a9349fa2https://doi.org/10.3390/computation14010022
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