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January 25, 2026EnergiesOpen Access

The Main Control Factors and Productivity Evaluation Method of Stimulated Well Production Based on an Interpretable Machine Learning Model

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Authors

JLJin LiChina University of Petroleum, BeijingHLHuiqing LiuChina University of Petroleum, BeijingLYLu YanHohai University

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Implication

This research demonstrates an interpretable machine learning method to evaluate oil increment effectiveness in low-permeability reservoirs, suggesting improved productivity insights.

Key Points

  • The study aims to identify key factors affecting stimulation effectiveness and quantify their impact on oil production in low-permeability waterflooding reservoirs.
  • Analyzed geological, construction, and production data from Bai 153 Block in Changqing Oilfield.
  • Used Random Forest algorithm and Recursive Feature Elimination to rank factors affecting well stimulation.
  • Developed a multivariate quantitative evaluation model based on Pearson correlation coefficient.
  • Identified key controlling factors influencing oil increment post-fracturing, including geological and production parameters.
  • The quantitative model showed a linear correlation rate exceeding 85% between predicted and actual well test production, confirming its effectiveness.

Cite This Study

Li et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6975b2aefeba4585c2d6e282https://doi.org/10.3390/en19020548
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