This analysis reveals changes in financial strain and drug use among EITC-eligible individuals, suggesting positive implications.
Introduction Financial strain is common in the US and associated with substance use. We examined whether eligibility for the federal Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC), the largest US anti-poverty program, affected financial strain and drug use. Methods Using a difference-in-difference design with data from the Population Assessment on Tobacco and Health Wave 1, a nationally representative survey of US adults, we estimated short-term EITC-associated changes in past-month financial strain, cannabis use, and central nervous system (CNS) depressant use for EITC-eligible people during the EITC disbursement period. Interview timing during/outside the disbursement period was independent of individual characteristics. Results 15.4% of adults were EITC-eligible with refunds ≥$500. Unadjusted prevalences of financial strain among EITC-eligible persons were 35.2% outside and 32.2% during the disbursement period. Refunds were associated with significantly lower financial strain (β=-4.5% [-8.9%, -0.1%]) versus EITC-ineligible individuals. Unadjusted prevalences of cannabis use in both periods were 10.7% and 9.8% in EITC-eligible versus 7.8% and 7.6% among EITC-ineligible; corresponding CNS depressant unadjusted prevalences were 6.3% and 6.6% in EITC-eligible and 4.9% and 4.7% among EITC-ineligible. There were no significant EITC-associated differences in drug use. Conclusion Findings support generous EITC refunds, with no evidence that financially supporting low-income people increased drug use.
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Gutkind et al. (2026) studied this question.
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