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February 5, 2026The Annals of Regional Science2 citationsOpen Access

From optimal to efficient tourism flows in cities: an urban economics perspective

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RCRoberta CapelloSCSilvia CerisolaEPElisa Panzera

Key Points

  • The study aims to understand overtourism through urban economics, identifying efficient tourist flow intervals.
  • Extended an urban economic model to assess tourist flow efficiency.
  • Conducted a municipal level cross-sectional analysis in Italy.
  • Evaluated the relationship between average benefits and costs for residents.
  • Identified efficient tourist flow intervals that maximize benefits for residents.
  • Demonstrated that cities can host more tourists by improving tourism quality.
  • Confirmed theoretical model findings through empirical analysis of Italy's tourism patterns.

Abstract

Abstract Growing concerns over the downsides of an excessive number of tourist arrivals have led to increased focus on managing tourism flows and on the overtourism phenomenon. The aim of the paper is to interpret the concept of overtourism through the lens of urban economics. The paper extends an urban economic model to identify efficient intervals of urban touristic flows associated with situations in which average benefits exceed average costs for residents. Moreover, the analysis argues that cities can increase the number of tourists they can efficiently host or raise the threshold at which the city achieves overtourism by acting on their capacity to increase the quality of their tourist offer. The theoretical model is empirically confirmed through a municipal level cross sectional analysis on Italy, representing an interesting case due to large heterogeneity in terms of tourist flows and institutional proactivity toward tourism.

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Cite This Study

Capello et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69843553f1d9ada3c1fb401chttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00168-026-01454-1
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Also Consider

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  1. 1“Anti-Gravity Tourism Planning”: An Analytical Approach to Manage Tourism Congestion, Seasonality and Overtourism2025
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  4. 4EXPRESS: Unpacking Overtourism in Barcelona (1986–2025): A Longitudinal Process-Tracing Analysis and the Cascade Amplification Framework2026
  5. 5Legal and Administrative Tools for Managing Overtourism in Sustainable Regional Development2026