Analysis confirms the validity of forecasting tropical cyclone movement using satellite cloud imagery.
Analysis of a sample of independent data consisting of 68 satellite cloud photographs of tropical cyclones in the north Australian region has confirmed the general validity of the forecasting guidelines suggested by Lajoie and Nicholls (1974). The asymmetric cloud distribution around the storm with respect to the cyclone centre and its direction of movement is shown to agree with the mean low-level divergence pattern around the cyclone. A method for forecasting the direction of motion of a tropical cyclone from satellite cloud pictures is discussed.
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F. A. Lajoie (1976) studied this question.
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