A trial of an empirical method of predicting tropical cyclone motion in the Western Australian region

Key Points

• This research aims to develop an empirical method for accurately forecasting tropical cyclone motion.
• Analyzed vorticity distribution in low-level flow around cyclones.
• Applied method to data from six tropical cyclones in Western Australia.
• Compared prediction errors with existing forecasting methods.
• Prediction position errors were lower than those from current methods.
• Method shows potential for enhanced cyclone trajectory forecasting.