This analysis explores how education influences fertility and inequality in China, suggesting implications for growth.
Demand for skilled labor and social status accorded by educational achievements induce a race to acquire education, dubbed “education fever.” In conjunction with credit market constraints and in the context of quantity-quality tradeoff, this, in turn, may reduce fertility, especially in well-educated families, and create cross-sectional inequality while limiting intergenerational mobility. The resulting inequality is persistent, which, in turn, may have adverse implications for economic growth. I argue that these phenomena are consistent with recent economic and social developments in China.
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MARK GRADSTEIN (2026) studied this question.
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