Identifying Core Habitats and Connectivity Patterns for the Endangered Black Muntjac in a Subtropical Montane Reserve

Habitat loss and fragmentation threaten forest-dependent ungulates in subtropical mountain systems, yet integrative assessments linking habitat quality and landscape configuration remain limited. Here, we evaluated habitat suitability and identified core habitat patches for the endangered black muntjac (Muntiacus crinifrons) in Tongboshan National Nature Reserve using an Analytic Hierarchy Process–Habitat Suitability Index (AHP–HSI) framework integrated with camera-trap validation and landscape pattern analysis. Vegetation-related indicators (NDVI and vegetation type) were the dominant suitability drivers, and highly suitable habitats accounted for 62.9% of the reserve (8646.97 ha), forming three major forest blocks with low disturbance levels. Camera-trap detections (n = 58) showed strong concordance with model predictions (98.28% within moderately suitable or higher classes). Landscape metrics revealed contrasting spatial configurations between overall high-suitability habitats and optimal core patches, indicating that demographic source areas are embedded within fragmented peripheral mosaics. Medium patches and forested ridges may function as potential stepping stones and corridors facilitating movement across habitat clusters. These findings highlight the importance of maintaining functional connectivity and mitigating edge disturbances in buffer and experimental zones to ensure long-term population persistence and effective protected-area management for forest ungulates.