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February 14, 2026BMC Geriatrics1 citationsOpen Access

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio as a predictor of in-hospital mortality in elderly emergency patients: a retrospective study from Southern Iran

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LJLatife JabbariMYMaryam YousefzadeSTSaeed Hosseini Teshnizi

Key Points

  • This research aims to evaluate the prognostic value of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in predicting in-hospital mortality among elderly emergency patients.
  • Conducted a retrospective analysis of 2,540 patients aged ≥ 65 years admitted to an emergency department in Southern Iran.
  • Calculated neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio from initial complete blood counts.
  • Performed multivariate analysis to evaluate the association between NLR and mortality.
  • NLR > 3.75 predicted in-hospital mortality with 52.2% sensitivity and 75.8% specificity.
  • NLR confirmed as an independent predictor with an adjusted odds ratio of 1.77.
  • An inverse association between hypernatremia and mortality risk was observed.

Abstract

Mortality risk stratification in older emergency department (ED) patients remains challenging in resource-limited settings, particularly among frail elderly with multiple comorbidities. This study evaluated the prognostic value of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in Southern Iran. In this retrospective single-center study conducted between March 2021 and March 2022, we analyzed records of 2,540 consecutively admitted patients aged ≥ 65 years to an academic ED in Southern Iran. NLR was calculated from initial complete blood counts. An NLR > 3.75 predicted in-hospital mortality with 52.2% sensitivity and 75.8% specificity (AUC = 0.655; 95% CI: 0.636–0.674; p 3.75 may serve as a supportive and low-cost indicator for mortality risk stratification in elderly emergency patients; however, it should not be considered a stand-alone triage tool. The unexpected inverse association with hypernatremia warrants cautious interpretation and validation in future studies.

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Cite This Study

Jabbari et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/698fd276306598e8538deb34https://doi.org/10.1186/s12877-026-07130-5
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