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This analysis benchmarks simulated river discharge using the MizuRoute model, suggesting improvements for arid regions.
Large-scale river modeling has transitioned toward vector-based routing, yet the global fidelity of standalone frameworks like mizuRoute remains poorly characterized due to fragmented observation networks and unquantified systematic biases. This study addresses this gap by establishing a comprehensive global benchmark using a harmonized database of 12,115 in situ gauging stations integrated with multi-dimensional catchment attributes. Simulations utilize the 5 km MERIT-Hydro network driven by ERA5-Land runoff from 1980 to 2024. Our results reveal a robust global median Pearson correlation of 0.53, though simulation efficiency is highly bifurcated with a median Kling–Gupta Efficiency (KGE) of 0.17. High fidelity is concentrated in humid temperate and cold regions, whereas performance collapses in arid zones (median KGE = −0.15) due to the structural omission of channel transmission losses. Attribution analysis identifies the aridity–moisture gradient and vegetation density as primary drivers of model skill, while topographic complexity is well-preserved by the vector framework. Furthermore, anthropogenic regulation significantly degrades accuracy; in basins with high reservoir density, naturalized routing fails to capture regulated flow signatures, leading to a sharp decline in efficiency. This work provides the first global appraisal of the mizuRoute framework and highlights that integrating dryland-specific loss functions and reservoir modules is essential for the next generation of global hydrological reconstructions.
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Xu et al. (2026) studied this question.
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