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This research investigates how macroeconomic factors influence fertility rates in Vietnam from 1990 to 2024.

Macroeconomic determinants of fertility rates: evidence from Vietnam

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The study examines the impact of macroeconomic factors on fertility rates in Vietnam, indicating short-run effects and long-run stability.

This research investigates how macroeconomic factors influence fertility rates in Vietnam from 1990 to 2024.
Utilized autoregressive distributed lag/error correction model framework
Analyzed time-series data from World Bank and General Statistics Office of Vietnam
Performed Zivot–Andrews structural break tests
Employed vector autoregression model for data analysis
Conducted impulse response and variance decomposition analyses for robustness.
Unemployment has a positive short-term effect on fertility rates.
Lagged inflation negatively affects fertility, indicating macroeconomic instability's delayed influence.
In the long run, macroeconomic variables do not significantly affect fertility rates.
Fertility changes are mainly driven by intrinsic dynamics rather than macroeconomic factors.

Le et al. (2026) studied this question.

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The study examines the impact of macroeconomic factors on fertility rates in Vietnam, indicating short-run effects and long-run stability.