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February 22, 2026Eurosurveillance12 citationsOpen Access

Influenza vaccine effectiveness from nine studies during drifted A(H3N2) subclade K predominance, Europe, September 2025 to January 2026

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HLHéloïse LucaccioniInstitut Supérieur d'Électronique de ParisDMDiogo F.P. MarquesFKFreja KirsebomUK Health Security Agency

Key Points

  • To assess the effectiveness of the influenza vaccine against the A(H3N2) subclade K during the 2025/26 season in Europe.
  • Analysis of nine studies across 19 European countries
  • Assessment of all-age influenza A vaccine effectiveness
  • Comparison of effectiveness in outpatient and hospital settings
  • Overall vaccine effectiveness ranging from 25% to 45%
  • Highest vaccine effectiveness observed in children, between 47% to 72%
  • Effectiveness similar to previous seasons despite genetic drift

Abstract

The European 2025/26 influenza season is dominated by the influenza A(H3N2) virus, with most sequenced viruses belonging to subclade K, genetically drifted from the vaccine virus, raising concerns around vaccine effectiveness (VE). Despite this, VE estimates from nine European studies (19 countries) indicate all-age influenza A VE of 25–45% for outpatient and hospital settings combined, similar to other seasons, with highest estimates among children (47–72%). Vaccination should be encouraged and complemented by other infection prevention and control measures.

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Cite This Study

Lucaccioni et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/699a9d65482488d673cd3456https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.es.2026.31.7.2600109
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