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February 24, 20260 citationsOpen Access

Coherence Without Complementarity: Dutch Books and Paraconsistent Bayesianism

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LBLorand Bruhacs

Key Points

  • The research aims to recast coherence in Dutch-book arguments using nonclassical analysis, focusing on the delimitations of probabilities.
  • Recast coherence as an extension problem for partial ticket prices.
  • Develop an order-enriched interface to separate structural and semantic factors.
  • Prove representation theorems for LP coherence.
  • Analyze payoff consequences using specific LP scenarios.
  • Established coherence of partial ticket prices extending to admissible valuations.
  • Derived significant identities like the glut decomposition identity and coherence of 'high--high' assignments.
  • Showed classical probabilism as an exposed face of LP credal geometry.

Abstract

Canonical Dutch-book arguments are usually presented in Boolean settings. Building on nonclassical convex-hull work and pragmatic-load cautions, we recast coherence as an extension problem: partial ticket prices are coherent when they extend to admissible valuations on gambles. We develop an order-enriched envelope interface that separates structural no-sure-loss constraints from semantic ticket design and from precisification assumptions. For LP, we prove both a finite-fragment representation theorem and a propositional global extension theorem (from finite coherence to global representing measures via compactness and weak-* methods). We then derive LP-specific payoff consequences: the glut decomposition identity, coherence of "high--high" assignments, and a geometric result showing classical probabilism as an exposed face of LP credal geometry. The upshot is that probabilism is structural while complementarity is semantic: LP coherence supports both precise and imprecise regimes depending on ticket design and admissibility.

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Cite This Study

Lorand Bruhacs (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/699d3fe6de8e28729cf64c5dhttps://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18735036
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